Odds
Player analysis
R. Bautista-Agut comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.2, meaning R. Bautista-Agut has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving R. Bautista-Agut vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Bautista-Agut has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.
J. Draper has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.1, meaning J. Draper has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving J. Draper vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Draper has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 22 Apr | Tirante | 2-6 4-6 | L |
| 5 Apr | Shevchenko | 7-6 7-6 | L |
| 4 Apr | Bonzi | 4-6 3-6 | W |
| 31 Mar | Droguet | 1-6 6-1 1-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Khachanov | 3-6 3-6 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 20 Mar | Opelka | 6-7 6-7 | L |
| 13 Mar | Medvedev | 1-6 5-7 | L |
| 12 Mar | Djokovic | 6-4 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 9 Mar | Cerundolo | 1-6 5-7 | W |
| 7 Mar | Bautista-Agut | 6-3 3-6 2-6 | W |

