Odds
Player analysis
T. Droguet comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.6. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Droguet has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.
J. Fearnley comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.6, meaning J. Fearnley has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving J. Fearnley vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Fearnley has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -26 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 5 May | Kypson | 7-6 6-7 7-6 | L |
| 4 May | Manzano | 7-5 1-6 5-7 | W |
| 30 Apr | Safiullin | 6-2 4-6 6-4 | L |
| 28 Apr | Skatov | 2-6 1-6 | W |
| 22 Apr | Bonzi | 6-7 7-6 6-4 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 7 May | Perricard | 6-7 6-4 2-6 | L |
| 5 May | Kovacevic | 6-2 2-6 3-6 | W |
| 4 May | Mochizuki | 3-6 1-6 | W |
| 12 Mar | Cazaux | 2-6 6-3 1-6 | L |
| 8 Mar | Fritz | 3-6 7-6 1-6 | L |

