J. Faria shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 341. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +9.0 (range: -4.0 to 16.4). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving J. Faria vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

A. Rublev comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.9, meaning A. Rublev has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving A. Rublev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Rublev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -32 over recent matches.