TokyoIndoor1/8-finals23 Oct 2025 · 05:25
L. Fernandez
#25 · Canada
VS
E. Rybakina
#2 · Kazakhstan
FERNANDEZ
4
·
RYBAKINA
1.28

Odds

Market
Fernandez
Rybakina
Winner
4
1.28
Total
line 17.5
1.25
Over 17.5
3.44
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.5
1.4
Over 18.5
2.63
Under 18.5
Handicap
games
2.81
-2.5 games
1.39
+2.5 games
Handicap
games
2.66
-3.0 games
1.51
+3 games

Player analysis

L. Fernandez has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.0 to 17.6, with at least one match where L. Fernandez was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving L. Fernandez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.

DS 3.57Trend mixed

E. Rybakina shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 36. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Rybakina has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.

DS 7.68Trend mixed

Recent form

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults6
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces5
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

23
Clay 01
Indoor 01
Hard 21
L. Fernandez vs E. Rybakina head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
StuttgartClayWTA Quarter-finalsRybakina6-7 6-4 7-6
TokyoIndoor1/8-finalsRybakina4-6 3-6
WashingtonHardSemi-finalsFernandez6-7 7-6 7-6
WTA CincinnatiHard1/16-finalsFernandez3-6 7-6 6-4
WTA DohaHardQuarter-finalsRybakina4-6 2-6