WashingtonHardSemi-finals26 Jul 2025 · 20:40
L. Fernandez
#25 · Canada
VS
E. Rybakina
#2 · Kazakhstan
FERNANDEZ
4.05
·
RYBAKINA
1.28

Odds

Market
Fernandez
Rybakina
Winner
4.05
1.28

Player analysis

L. Fernandez comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.9, meaning L. Fernandez has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving L. Fernandez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -2.87Trend mixed

E. Rybakina shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 32. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+30) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 5.73Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Fernandez
Stat
Rybakina
62.4%
Win rate
68.8%
151–91
W–L
207–94

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved70%
Aces1
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved80%
Aces7
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

22
Indoor 01
Hard 21
L. Fernandez vs E. Rybakina head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
TokyoIndoor1/8-finalsRybakina4-6 3-6
WashingtonHardSemi-finalsFernandez6-7 7-6 7-6
WTA CincinnatiHard1/16-finalsFernandez3-6 7-6 6-4
WTA DohaHardQuarter-finalsRybakina4-6 2-6