H. Hurkacz comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -9.1, meaning H. Hurkacz has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving H. Hurkacz vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

J. Fonseca has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.8 to 18.5, with at least one match where J. Fonseca was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving J. Fonseca vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.