K. Khachanov comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.2, meaning K. Khachanov has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving K. Khachanov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — K. Khachanov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.

J. Fonseca has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.5. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +20 over the last five.