Odds
Player analysis
R. Opelka has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -18.9 to 11.8, with at least one match where R. Opelka was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (7.0/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Opelka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.
J. Fonseca has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.8 to 18.5, with at least one match where J. Fonseca was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving J. Fonseca vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 22 Mar | Fritz | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Draper | 6-7 6-7 | W |
| 19 Mar | Borges | 6-7 6-2 7-6 | W |
| 6 Mar | Shelton | 6-7 7-6 6-3 | L |
| 4 Mar | Quinn | 7-5 7-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 21 Mar | Alcaraz | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 19 Mar | Marozsan | 4-6 6-3 2-6 | W |
| 11 Mar | Sinner | 6-7 6-7 | L |
| 9 Mar | Paul | 6-2 6-3 | W |
| 7 Mar | Khachanov | 6-4 6-7 4-6 | W |

