MadridClay1/32-finals26 Apr 2025 · 21:45
J. Fonseca
#39 · Brazil
VS
T. Paul
#23 · USA
FONSECA
1.58
·
PAUL
2.56

Odds

Market
Fonseca
Paul
Winner
1.58
2.56

Player analysis

J. Fonseca has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.3. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Fonseca has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -19 over recent matches.

DS 5.35Trend mixed

T. Paul has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -18.5 to 27.1, with at least one match where T. Paul was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving T. Paul vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+27) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 2.3Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWWL

3W 2L last 5

11 MarSinner6-7 6-7L
9 MarPaul6-2 6-3W
7 MarKhachanov6-4 6-7 4-6W
5 MarCollignon7-6 6-4W
20 FebBuse7-5 3-6 4-6L
Recent form bar chartLWWLW

3W 2L last 5

9 MarFonseca6-2 6-3L
7 MarBergs1-6 2-6W
22 FebTien4-6 6-4 6-3W
22 FebKorda4-6 3-6L
21 FebFritz4-6 3-6W

Clay court stats

Fonseca
Stat
Paul
60.9%
Win rate
64.8%
42–27
W–L
114–62

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces5
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved80%
Aces6
Double faults1

Head to head

11
Hard 10
Clay 01
J. Fonseca vs T. Paul head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
ATP Indian WellsHard1/16-finalsFonseca6-2 6-3
MadridClay1/32-finalsPaul6-7 6-7