Odds
Player analysis
E. Rybakina shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 32. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+30) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
M. Frech comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.7, meaning M. Frech has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving M. Frech vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 27 Mar | Sabalenka | 6-4 6-3 | L |
| 25 Mar | Pegula | 2-6 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 24 Mar | Gibson | 6-2 6-2 | W |
| 22 Mar | Kostyuk | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 21 Mar | Putintseva | 6-3 6-3 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 1 Apr | Bondar | 7-5 6-3 | L |
| 17 Mar | Kessler | 2-6 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 6 Mar | Hunter | 3-6 7-5 6-3 | L |
| 2 Mar | Bucsa | 6-1 4-6 6-4 | L |
| 1 Mar | Zhang | 6-2 6-7 6-3 | W |

