TokyoHard1/8-finals27 Sep 2025 · 06:10
B. Nakashima
#33 · USA
VS
M. Fucsovics
#58 · Hungary
NAKASHIMA
1.8
·
FUCSOVICS
2.14

Odds

Market
Nakashima
Fucsovics
Winner
1.8
2.14
Total
line 21.0
1.3
Over 21.0
3.1
Under 21.0
Total
line 21.5
1.38
Over 21.5
2.77
Under 21.5
Handicap
games
3.47
-4.0 games
1.24
+4 games
Handicap
games
2.72
-3.5 games
1.38
+3.5 games

Player analysis

B. Nakashima comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — B. Nakashima has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -37 over recent matches.

DS 5.42Trend mixed

M. Fucsovics comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.9 to 17.1, with at least one match where M. Fucsovics was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Fucsovics vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Fucsovics has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -38 over recent matches.

DS 0.03Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Nakashima
Stat
Fucsovics
63.1%
Win rate
58%
197–115
W–L
276–200

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved30%
Aces10
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved50%
Aces6
Double faults4