Odds
Player analysis
C. Garin has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +2.9 with a downward trend. C. Garin is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving C. Garin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Garin has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -10 over recent matches.
F. Misolic comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.4, meaning F. Misolic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving F. Misolic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — F. Misolic has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 6 Apr | Arnaldi | 6-2 6-4 | W |
| 5 Apr | Basilashvili | 5-7 0-6 | W |
| 4 Apr | Jong | 7-5 1-6 6-1 | W |
| 16 Mar | Draxl | 6-4 4-6 2-6 | L |
| 11 Mar | Svrcina | 4-6 4-6 | L |
1W 4L last 5
| 27 Jan | Giustino | 6-7 6-7 | L |
| 19 Jan | Fokina | 2-6 3-6 3-6 | L |
| 12 Jan | Shevchenko | 5-7 3-6 | L |
| 11 Jan | Jovanovski | 7-5 6-4 | W |
| 3 Jan | Hijikata | 6-3 6-3 | L |

