Odds
Player analysis
C. Garin has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving C. Garin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Garin has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.
M. Trungelliti shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 61. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.6, meaning M. Trungelliti has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving M. Trungelliti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 8 Apr | Zverev | 6-4 4-6 5-7 | L |
| 6 Apr | Arnaldi | 6-2 6-4 | W |
| 5 Apr | Basilashvili | 5-7 0-6 | W |
| 4 Apr | Jong | 7-5 1-6 6-1 | W |
| 16 Mar | Draxl | 6-4 4-6 2-6 | L |
4W 1L last 5
| 11 Apr | Kjaer | 6-4 4-6 6-4 | W |
| 5 Apr | Jodar | 3-6 2-6 | L |
| 4 Apr | Darderi | 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 3 Apr | Moutet | 6-4 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 1 Apr | Majchrzak | 7-6 6-3 | W |

