Odds
Player analysis
D. Vallejo has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.3. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving D. Vallejo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Vallejo has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.
C. Garin comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.7, meaning C. Garin has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving C. Garin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 13 Mar | Monteiro | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 12 Mar | Alves | 6-4 3-6 6-3 | W |
| 10 Mar | Villanueva | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 8 Mar | Rocha | 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 7 Mar | Ribeiro | 7-5 6-2 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 11 Mar | Svrcina | 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 26 Feb | Baez | 6-7 6-1 5-7 | L |
| 24 Feb | Cerundolo | 6-3 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 16 Feb | Tirante | 5-7 3-6 | L |
| 20 Jan | Darderi | 6-7 5-7 6-7 | L |

