Rio de JaneiroClaySemi-finals14 Feb 2026 · 20:10
A. Pellegrino
#130 · Italy
VS
V. Gaubas
#124 · Lithuania
PELLEGRINO
1.72
·
GAUBAS
2.19

Odds

Market
Pellegrino
Gaubas
Winner
1.72
2.19

Player analysis

A. Pellegrino comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.8, meaning A. Pellegrino has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving A. Pellegrino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Pellegrino has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.

DS -3.82Trend mixed

V. Gaubas has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -21.5 to 13.5, with at least one match where V. Gaubas was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving V. Gaubas vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+33) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 1.47Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Pellegrino
Stat
Gaubas
54.4%
Win rate
62.5%
233–195
W–L
135–81

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP saved90%
Aces4
Double faults1
BP converted40%