Odds
Player analysis
J. Pegula shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is unknown. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Pegula has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.
C. Gauff shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is unknown. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.6. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving C. Gauff vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 13 Mar | Rybakina | 1-6 6-7 | L |
| 11 Mar | Bencic | 6-3 7-6 | W |
| 9 Mar | Ostapenko | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 8 Mar | Vekic | 4-6 6-2 6-3 | W |
| 21 Feb | Svitolina | 2-6 4-6 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 6 Mar | Rakhimova | 6-3 7-6 | W |
| 20 Feb | Svitolina | 6-4 6-7 6-4 | L |
| 19 Feb | Eala | 6-0 6-2 | W |
| 18 Feb | Mertens | 2-6 7-6 6-3 | W |
| 17 Feb | Kalinskaya | 6-4 6-4 | W |

