Finals - RiyadhIndoor2 Nov 2025 · 16:55
C. Gauff
#4 · USA
VS
J. Pegula
#5 · USA
GAUFF
1.6
·
PEGULA
2.48

Odds

Market
Gauff
Pegula
Winner
1.6
2.48

Player analysis

C. Gauff shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 31. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.6. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving C. Gauff vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.

DS 7.64Trend mixed

J. Pegula shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 32. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Pegula has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.

DS 7.36Trend up

Recent form

Recent form bar chartWLWWW

4W 1L last 5

6 MarRakhimova6-3 7-6W
20 FebSvitolina6-4 6-7 6-4L
19 FebEala6-0 6-2W
18 FebMertens2-6 7-6 6-3W
17 FebKalinskaya6-4 6-4W
Recent form bar chartLWWWW

4W 1L last 5

13 MarRybakina1-6 6-7L
11 MarBencic6-3 7-6W
9 MarOstapenko4-6 6-3 6-2W
8 MarVekic4-6 6-2 6-3W
21 FebSvitolina2-6 4-6W

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults11
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces7
Double faults2

Head to head

35
Indoor 12
Hard 12
Clay 01
Grass 10
C. Gauff vs J. Pegula head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Finals - RiyadhIndoorPegula3-6 7-6 2-6
WuhanHardFinalGauff4-6 5-7
WTA Finals - RiyadhIndoorGauff6-3 6-2
WTA BerlinClaySemi-finalsPegula5-7 6-7
WTA Finals - CancunIndoorSemi-finalsPegula6-2 6-1
WTA MontrealHardQuarter-finalsPegula6-2 5-7 7-5
WTA EastbourneGrassQuarter-finalsGauff3-6 3-6
DubaiHard1/16-finalsPegula4-6 4-6