C. Gauff has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.4 to 20.8, with at least one match where C. Gauff was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving C. Gauff vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Gauff has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

J. Pegula shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 34. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -18.6 to 22.1, with at least one match where J. Pegula was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.