MadridClaySemi-finals1 May 2025 · 16:10
C. Gauff
#3 · USA
VS
I. Swiatek
#4 · Poland
GAUFF
2.5
·
SWIATEK
1.6

Odds

Market
Gauff
Swiatek
Winner
2.5
1.6

Player analysis

C. Gauff comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 29 on average. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving C. Gauff vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 5.96Trend up

I. Swiatek has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.8 to 29.8, with at least one match where I. Swiatek was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving I. Swiatek vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+31) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 12.67Trend down

Recent form

Clay court stats

Gauff
Stat
Swiatek
75%
Win rate
86.2%
78–26
W–L
131–21

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults6
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted60%
BP saved70%
Aces2
Double faults4

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

55
Hard 31
Clay 13
Indoor 11
C. Gauff vs I. Swiatek head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA United CupHardGauff6-4 6-2
MadridClaySemi-finalsGauff6-1 6-1
United CupHardGauff6-4 6-4
WTA Finals - RiyadhIndoorGauff3-6 4-6
WTA French OpenClaySemi-finalsSwiatek6-2 6-4
WTA RomeClaySemi-finalsSwiatek6-4 6-3
WTA Finals - CancunIndoorSwiatek7-5
WTA BeijingHardSemi-finalsSwiatek2-6 3-6
WTA CincinnatiHardSemi-finalsGauff6-7 6-3 4-6
WTA French OpenClayQuarter-finalsSwiatek6-4 6-2