TokyoHard1/16-finals25 Sep 2025 · 04:10
M. Giron
#69 · USA
VS
S. Korda
#41 · USA
GIRON
2.43
·
KORDA
1.62

Odds

Market
Giron
Korda
Winner
2.43
1.62
Total
line 19.5
1.3
Over 19.5
3.12
Under 19.5
Total
line 20.0
1.31
Over 20.0
3.04
Under 20.0
Handicap
games
1.9
-2.5 games
1.31
+2.5 games
Handicap
games
2.02
-2.0 games
1.84
+2 games

Player analysis

M. Giron has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.6 to 7.4, with at least one match where M. Giron was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving M. Giron vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.47Trend mixed

S. Korda has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -3.1 to 25.3, with at least one match where S. Korda was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving S. Korda vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Korda has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

DS 9.45Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Giron
Stat
Korda
54.4%
Win rate
62.5%
246–206
W–L
167–100

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces7
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

03
Hard 02
Indoor 01
M. Giron vs S. Korda head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
TokyoHard1/16-finalsKorda6-4 3-6 6-7
AntwerpIndoor1/16-finalsKorda3-6 7-6 4-6
Newport BeachHard1/16-finalsKorda4-6 6-3 6-7