Odds
Player analysis
R. Hijikata comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.4 with a downward trend. R. Hijikata is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving R. Hijikata vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Hijikata has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -21 over recent matches.
C. Moutet comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -22.3 to 26.2, with at least one match where C. Moutet was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving C. Moutet vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 3 Apr | Tiafoe | 4-6 6-3 2-6 | L |
| 1 Apr | Kovacevic | 4-6 2-6 | W |
| 17 Mar | Sweeny | 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 17 Mar | Walton | 6-3 6-7 6-1 | L |
| 11 Mar | Norrie | 4-6 2-6 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 3 Apr | Trungelliti | 6-4 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 1 Apr | Baadi | 6-0 6-2 | W |
| 24 Mar | Sinner | 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 21 Mar | Machac | 6-0 1-6 6-4 | W |
| 15 Mar | Giron | 6-4 3-6 4-6 | L |

