Odds
Player analysis
H. Hurkacz has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.2. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.
L. Musetti comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.6, meaning L. Musetti has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving L. Musetti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 8 Apr | Musetti | 6-7 5-7 | W |
| 6 Mar | Musetti | 5-7 1-6 | W |
| 26 Jan | Musetti | 6-2 7-5 6-4 | L |
| 24 Jan | Musetti | 5-7 6-4 6-2 5-7 6-2 | L |
| 22 Jan | Musetti | 6-3 6-3 6-4 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 9 Apr | Vacherot | 6-7 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 8 Apr | Marozsan | 2-6 3-6 | W |
| 7 Apr | Hurkacz | 7-6 5-7 6-1 | L |
| 19 Mar | Quinn | 6-2 6-4 | L |
| 12 Mar | Hurkacz | 2-6 4-6 | W |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.