Hong KongHard1/16-finals27 Oct 2025 · 13:25
A. Sevastova
#195 · Latvia
VS
M. Joint
#29 · Australia
SEVASTOVA
3.05
·
JOINT
1.42

Odds

Market
Sevastova
Joint
Winner
3.05
1.42
Total
line 17.5
1.29
Over 17.5
3.13
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.5
1.46
Over 18.5
2.45
Under 18.5
Handicap
games
2.35
-2.0 games
1.5
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.35
-2.5 games
1.54
+2.5 games

Player analysis

A. Sevastova comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -12.2, meaning A. Sevastova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.2/10, leaving A. Sevastova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Sevastova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.

DS -12.16Trend mixed

M. Joint comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.2, meaning M. Joint has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving M. Joint vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -7.22Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Sevastova
Stat
Joint
51.7%
Win rate
62%
149–139
W–L
80–49

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces2
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces2
Double faults3