BeijingHard1/32-finals26 Sep 2025 · 10:15
J. Paolini
#9 · Italy
VS
A. Sevastova
#195 · Latvia
PAOLINI
1.17
·
SEVASTOVA
5.66

Odds

Market
Paolini
Sevastova
Winner
1.17
5.66

Player analysis

J. Paolini comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.4, meaning J. Paolini has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving J. Paolini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -1.42Trend mixed

A. Sevastova comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -12.2, meaning A. Sevastova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.2/10, leaving A. Sevastova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Sevastova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.

DS -12.16Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Paolini
Stat
Sevastova
54.2%
Win rate
51.7%
147–124
W–L
149–139

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces2
Double faults1

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

20
Hard 10
Grass 10
J. Paolini vs A. Sevastova head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
BeijingHard1/32-finalsPaolini6-1 6-3
WimbledonGrass1/64-finalsPaolini2-6 6-3 6-2