Odds
Player analysis
R. Opelka has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -18.9 to 11.8, with at least one match where R. Opelka was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (7.0/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Opelka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.
J. De Jong comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.5, meaning J. De Jong has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving J. De Jong vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 22 Mar | Fritz | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Draper | 6-7 6-7 | W |
| 19 Mar | Borges | 6-7 6-2 7-6 | W |
| 6 Mar | Shelton | 6-7 7-6 6-3 | L |
| 4 Mar | Quinn | 7-5 7-6 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 4 Apr | Garin | 7-5 1-6 6-1 | L |
| 30 Mar | Hanfmann | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 25 Mar | Butvilas | 7-5 2-6 6-4 | L |
| 24 Mar | Pieri | 7-5 1-6 6-7 | W |
| 21 Mar | Baena | 6-2 4-6 4-6 | L |