Odds
Player analysis
A. Sabalenka comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 23 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -0.5 to 17.5, with at least one match where A. Sabalenka was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
I. Jovic comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.1, meaning I. Jovic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving I. Jovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 28 Apr | Baptiste | 6-2 2-6 6-7 | L |
| 27 Apr | Osaka | 6-7 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 25 Apr | Cristian | 6-1 6-4 | W |
| 23 Apr | Stearns | 7-5 6-3 | W |
| 28 Mar | Gauff | 6-2 4-6 6-3 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 25 Apr | Fernandez | 3-6 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 23 Apr | Linette | 4-6 1-6 | W |
| 11 Apr | Minnen | 7-5 6-3 | L |
| 10 Apr | Vandewinkel | 7-6 6-3 | L |
| 4 Apr | Pegula | 6-4 5-7 6-3 | L |