Odds
Player analysis
A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-31 opposition. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Sabalenka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.
J. Cristian comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.2, meaning J. Cristian has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving J. Cristian vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
5W 0L last 5
| 23 Apr | Stearns | 7-5 6-3 | W |
| 28 Mar | Gauff | 6-2 4-6 6-3 | W |
| 27 Mar | Rybakina | 6-4 6-3 | W |
| 26 Mar | Baptiste | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 23 Mar | McNally | 6-4 6-2 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 23 Apr | Starodubtseva | 6-3 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 15 Apr | Boulter | 7-6 4-6 6-1 | L |
| 14 Apr | Rajaonah | 6-2 6-7 5-7 | W |
| 7 Apr | Korpatsch | 6-4 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 23 Mar | Pegula | 4-6 1-6 | L |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.