MadridClay1/64-finals24 Apr 2025 · 13:25
L. Sonego
#66 · Italy
VS
M. Kecmanovic
#59 · Serbia
SONEGO
2.47
·
KECMANOVIC
1.6

Odds

Market
Sonego
Kecmanovic
Winner
2.47
1.6
Total
line 19.5
1.24
Over 19.5
3.42
Under 19.5
Total
line 20.0
1.27
Over 20.0
3.28
Under 20.0
Handicap
games
1.97
-2.0 games
1.89
+2 games
Handicap
games
1.85
-2.5 games
2.02
+2.5 games

Player analysis

L. Sonego comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.1, meaning L. Sonego has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving L. Sonego vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Sonego has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -21 over recent matches.

DS -0.08Trend mixed

M. Kecmanovic comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.0, meaning M. Kecmanovic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving M. Kecmanovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.

DS -3.99Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Sonego
Stat
Kecmanovic
56.6%
Win rate
55.6%
158–121
W–L
94–75

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces7
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces5
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

32
Clay 11
Grass 10
Hard 11
L. Sonego vs M. Kecmanovic head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MadridClay1/64-finalsSonego6-4 7-6
ATP HalleGrass1/16-finalsSonego6-7 6-7
ATP Indian WellsHard1/64-finalsSonego7-6 6-4
Rio de JaneiroClay1/8-finalsKecmanovic5-7 4-6
Australian OpenHard1/16-finalsKecmanovic6-4 6-7 6-2 7-5