E. Rybakina comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 17 on average. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.

M. Keys has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.4 to 13.5, with at least one match where M. Keys was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving M. Keys vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Keys has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.