CincinnatiHard1/8-finals14 Aug 2025 · 00:30
E. Rybakina
#2 · Kazakhstan
VS
M. Keys
#17 · USA
RYBAKINA
1.69
·
KEYS
2.31

Odds

Market
Rybakina
Keys
Winner
1.69
2.31

Player analysis

E. Rybakina comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 12 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -15.8 to 22.5, with at least one match where E. Rybakina was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 9.07Trend mixed

M. Keys has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -19.2 to 22.9, with at least one match where M. Keys was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving M. Keys vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 3.94Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Rybakina
Stat
Keys
68.8%
Win rate
62.7%
207–94
W–L
249–148

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted60%
BP saved40%
Aces6
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

33
Hard 22
Indoor 10
Clay 01
E. Rybakina vs M. Keys head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
CincinnatiHard1/8-finalsRybakina6-7 6-4 6-2
Australian OpenHard1/8-finalsKeys3-6 6-1 3-6
WTA MiamiHard1/8-finalsRybakina3-6 5-7
OstravaIndoor1/16-finalsRybakina7-5 3-6 3-6
CincinnatiHardQuarter-finalsKeys6-2 6-4
French OpenClay1/16-finalsKeys3-6 6-1 7-6