Finals - RiyadhIndoor5 Nov 2025 · 15:00
E. Rybakina
#2 · Kazakhstan
VS
M. Keys
#17 · USA

Odds

Market
Rybakina
Keys
Change
Winner

Player analysis

E. Rybakina shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 32. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+30) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 5.73Trend mixed

M. Keys has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -19.2 to 22.9, with at least one match where M. Keys was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving M. Keys vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 3.94Trend mixed

Recent form

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved80%
Aces7
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

33
Hard 22
Indoor 10
Clay 01
E. Rybakina vs M. Keys head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
CincinnatiHard1/8-finalsRybakina6-7 6-4 6-2
Australian OpenHard1/8-finalsKeys3-6 6-1 3-6
WTA MiamiHard1/8-finalsRybakina3-6 5-7
OstravaIndoor1/16-finalsRybakina7-5 3-6 3-6
CincinnatiHardQuarter-finalsKeys6-2 6-4
French OpenClay1/16-finalsKeys3-6 6-1 7-6