MadridClay1/32-finals24 Apr 2026 · 11:00
M. Keys
#17 · USA
VS
S. Zhang
#65 · China
KEYS
1.25
·
ZHANG
4

Odds

Market
Keys
Zhang
Change
Winner
1.25
4
Total
line 17.0
1.21
Over 17.0
3.66
Under 17.0
Total
line 17.5
1.3
Over 17.5
2.97
Under 17.5
Handicap
games
4.6
-7.5 games
1.16
+7.5 games
Handicap
games
4.15
-7.0 games
1.2
+7 games

Player analysis

M. Keys has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -19.2 to 22.9, with at least one match where M. Keys was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving M. Keys vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 3.94Trend mixed

S. Zhang comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -10.9, meaning S. Zhang has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving S. Zhang vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +15 over the last five.

DS -10.87Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Keys
Stat
Zhang
62.9%
Win rate
43.9%
90–53
W–L
65–83

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults3