K. Khachanov comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.1, meaning K. Khachanov has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving K. Khachanov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — K. Khachanov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -40 over recent matches.

T. Paul shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 47. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +4.6 with a downward trend. T. Paul is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving T. Paul vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.