Australian OpenHard1/64-finals19 Jan 2026 · 03:00
N. Budkov Kjaer
#137 · Norway
VS
R. Opelka
#67 · USA
KJAER
2.37
·
OPELKA
1.65

Odds

Market
Kjaer
Opelka
Winner
2.37
1.65

Player analysis

N. Budkov Kjaer has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.5, meaning N. Budkov Kjaer has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving N. Budkov Kjaer vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — N. Budkov Kjaer has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

DS -3.48Trend up

R. Opelka comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.1 to 20.5, with at least one match where R. Opelka was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.9/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 2.55Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLLWWW

3W 2L last 5

11 MarBertola5-7 1-6L
8 MarOfner6-7 6-3 7-6L
7 MarVirtanen6-4 2-6 6-7W
6 MarChoinski6-4 7-6W
4 MarNishikori3-6 6-4 6-2W
Recent form bar chartLWLWL

2W 3L last 5

6 MarShelton6-7 7-6 6-3L
4 MarQuinn7-5 7-6W
21 JanFokina3-6 6-7 7-5 6-4 4-6L
19 JanKjaer4-6 3-6 4-6W
14 JanPaul4-6 4-6L

Hard court stats

Kjaer
Stat
Opelka
62.8%
Win rate
56.6%
54–32
W–L
154–118

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces7
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted20%
BP saved80%
Aces23
Double faults6