Odds
Player analysis
N. Budkov Kjaer has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.5, meaning N. Budkov Kjaer has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving N. Budkov Kjaer vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — N. Budkov Kjaer has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.
R. Opelka comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.1 to 20.5, with at least one match where R. Opelka was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.9/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 11 Mar | Bertola | 5-7 1-6 | L |
| 8 Mar | Ofner | 6-7 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 7 Mar | Virtanen | 6-4 2-6 6-7 | W |
| 6 Mar | Choinski | 6-4 7-6 | W |
| 4 Mar | Nishikori | 3-6 6-4 6-2 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 6 Mar | Shelton | 6-7 7-6 6-3 | L |
| 4 Mar | Quinn | 7-5 7-6 | W |
| 21 Jan | Fokina | 3-6 6-7 7-5 6-4 4-6 | L |
| 19 Jan | Kjaer | 4-6 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 14 Jan | Paul | 4-6 4-6 | L |

