MadridClay23 Apr 2026 · 11:00
N. Budkov Kjaer
#140 · Norway
VS
R. Opelka
#70 · USA

Odds

Market
Kjaer
Opelka
Change
Winner
Total
line 19.5
1.23
Over 19.5
3.42
Under 19.5
Total
line 20.0
1.27
Over 20.0
3.2
Under 20.0
Handicap
games
1.55
-2.5 games
2.32
+2.5 games
Handicap
games
1.63
-2.0 games
2.17
+2 games

Player analysis

N. Budkov Kjaer comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +2.8 with a downward trend. N. Budkov Kjaer is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving N. Budkov Kjaer vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 2.83Trend down

R. Opelka comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.1, meaning R. Opelka has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Opelka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -33 over recent matches.

DS -3.08Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Kjaer
Stat
Opelka
62.7%
Win rate
51.1%
47–28
W–L
48–46

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP saved80%
Aces20
Double faults3
BP converted50%

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

01
Hard 01
N. Budkov Kjaer vs R. Opelka head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Australian OpenHard1/64-finalsOpelka4-6 3-6 4-6