Odds
Player analysis
A. Kovacevic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.8 to 11.5, with at least one match where A. Kovacevic was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Kovacevic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.
R. Opelka has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -18.9 to 11.8, with at least one match where R. Opelka was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (7.0/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Opelka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 1 Apr | Hijikata | 4-6 2-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Sakamoto | 4-6 6-3 6-7 | L |
| 9 Mar | Djokovic | 6-4 1-6 6-4 | L |
| 7 Mar | Moutet | 6-1 6-4 | W |
| 5 Mar | Hurkacz | 6-7 6-7 | W |

