Odds
Player analysis
A. Kovacevic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.8 to 11.5, with at least one match where A. Kovacevic was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Kovacevic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.
J. Shang comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -11.5, meaning J. Shang has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving J. Shang vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Shang has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -34 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 1 Apr | Hijikata | 4-6 2-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Sakamoto | 4-6 6-3 6-7 | L |
| 9 Mar | Djokovic | 6-4 1-6 6-4 | L |
| 7 Mar | Moutet | 6-1 6-4 | W |
| 5 Mar | Hurkacz | 6-7 6-7 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 24 Feb | Medvedev | 6-1 6-3 | L |
| 16 Feb | Medvedev | 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 22 Jan | Zandschulp | 7-6 6-2 6-3 | L |
| 19 Jan | Bautista-Agut | 6-4 6-7 6-4 6-0 | W |
| 9 Jan | Bublik | 1-6 6-7 | L |

