MadridClayATP Final21 Apr 2026 · 14:00
C. Rodesch
#171 · Luxembourg
VS
D. Lajovic
#138 · Serbia
RODESCH
2.02
·
LAJOVIC
1.8

Odds

Market
Rodesch
Lajovic
Change
Winner
2.02
1.8
Total
line 20.0
1.32
Over 20.0
2.88
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.42
Over 20.5
2.49
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
1.6
-2.5 games
2.16
+2.5 games
Handicap
games
1.66
-2.0 games
2.06
+2 games

Player analysis

C. Rodesch has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.8 to 14.5, with at least one match where C. Rodesch was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving C. Rodesch vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+37) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 3.81Trend up

D. Lajovic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.8, meaning D. Lajovic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving D. Lajovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Lajovic has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -28 over recent matches.

DS -3.75Trend down

Recent form

Clay court stats

Rodesch
Stat
Lajovic
71.8%
Win rate
58.3%
51–20
W–L
270–193

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved70%
Aces7
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults1