US OpenHard1/8-finals31 Aug 2025 · 17:40
J. Pegula
#5 · USA
VS
A. Li
#36 · USA
PEGULA
1.26
·
LI
4.3

Odds

Market
Pegula
Li
Winner
1.26
4.3

Player analysis

J. Pegula arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-40 opposition. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 8.81Trend mixed

A. Li comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.9, meaning A. Li has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Li vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -1.85Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Pegula
Stat
Li
66.4%
Win rate
57.1%
290–147
W–L
144–108

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces8
Double faults1

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

20
Hard 10
Clay 10
J. Pegula vs A. Li head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
US OpenHard1/8-finalsPegula6-1 6-2
French OpenClay1/32-finalsPegula3-6 6-7