StrasbourgClaySemi-finals23 May 2025 · 14:35
E. Rybakina
#2 · Kazakhstan
VS
B. Haddad Maia
#67 · Brazil
RYBAKINA
1.29
·
MAIA
4.02

Odds

Market
Rybakina
Maia
Winner
1.29
4.02

Player analysis

E. Rybakina shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 32. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+30) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 5.73Trend mixed

B. Haddad Maia comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -13.9, meaning B. Haddad Maia has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 4.7/10, leaving B. Haddad Maia vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — B. Haddad Maia has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.

DS -13.95Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Rybakina
Stat
Maia
69.4%
Win rate
64.4%
75–33
W–L
123–68

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved80%
Aces7
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won50%
2nd serve won30%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults8

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

11
Clay 10
Hard 01
E. Rybakina vs B. Haddad Maia head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
StrasbourgClaySemi-finalsRybakina7-6 1-6 6-2
Abu DhabiHardQuarter-finalsMaia3-6 6-3 6-2