Odds
Player analysis
D. Medvedev comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 24 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.7 to 19.3, with at least one match where D. Medvedev was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+48) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
K. Majchrzak comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.7, meaning K. Majchrzak has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving K. Majchrzak vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 15 Mar | Sinner | 6-7 6-7 | L |
| 14 Mar | Alcaraz | 3-6 6-7 | W |
| 13 Mar | Draper | 1-6 5-7 | W |
| 11 Mar | Michelsen | 6-2 6-4 | W |
| 10 Mar | Baez | 6-4 6-0 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 12 Mar | Basilashvili | 7-6 6-3 | L |
| 7 Mar | Djokovic | 4-6 6-1 6-2 | L |
| 5 Mar | Perricard | 6-3 1-6 7-5 | W |
| 24 Feb | Popyrin | 3-6 6-3 7-5 | L |
| 16 Feb | Fils | 6-7 6-3 6-4 | L |

