US OpenHardQuarter-finals4 Sep 2025 · 01:30
K. Muchova
#11 · Czech Republic
VS
N. Osaka
#15 · Japan
MUCHOVA
3.54
·
OSAKA
1.35

Odds

Market
Muchova
Osaka
Winner
3.54
1.35
Total
line 17.5
1.21
Over 17.5
4.4
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.0
1.26
Over 18.0
3.87
Under 18.0
Handicap
games
3.26
-2.0 games
1.34
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.39
-2.5 games
1.62
+2.5 games

Player analysis

K. Muchova comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 28 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -22.5 to 14.5, with at least one match where K. Muchova was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving K. Muchova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.

DS 0.57Trend mixed

N. Osaka comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.7, meaning N. Osaka has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving N. Osaka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.

DS -0.7Trend down

Recent form

Hard court stats

Muchova
Stat
Osaka
69.3%
Win rate
66.6%
138–61
W–L
219–110

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted70%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

12
Hard 12
K. Muchova vs N. Osaka head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
US OpenHardQuarter-finalsOsaka4-6 6-7
Australian OpenHard1/32-finalsOsaka6-1 1-6 3-6
WTA US OpenHard1/32-finalsMuchova3-6 6-7