US OpenHardQuarter-finals4 Sep 2025 · 01:30
K. Muchova
#14 · Czech Republic
VS
N. Osaka
#15 · Japan
MUCHOVA
3.54
·
OSAKA
1.35

Odds

Market
Muchova
Osaka
Winner
3.54
1.35
Total
line 17.5
1.21
Over 17.5
4.4
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.0
1.26
Over 18.0
3.87
Under 18.0
Handicap
games
3.26
-2.0 games
1.34
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.39
-2.5 games
1.62
+2.5 games

Player analysis

K. Muchova shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 33. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +3.9 with a downward trend. K. Muchova is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving K. Muchova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — K. Muchova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.

DS 3.85Trend down

N. Osaka shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 47. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.5. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving N. Osaka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 5.52Trend down

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWWW

4W 1L last 5

11 MarSwiatek2-6 0-6L
9 MarRuzic6-0 6-3W
7 MarBondar7-5 6-2W
14 FebMboko6-4 7-5W
13 FebSakkari6-3 4-6 1-6W
Recent form bar chartLWWWW

4W 1L last 5

10 MarSabalenka6-2 6-4L
8 MarOsorio1-6 6-3 1-6W
7 MarKasintseva5-7 2-6W
22 JanCirstea6-3 4-6 6-2W
20 JanRuzic6-3 3-6 6-4W

Hard court stats

Muchova
Stat
Osaka
69.3%
Win rate
66.6%
138–61
W–L
219–110

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP saved40%
Aces2
Double faults1
BP converted40%
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults1

Head to head

12
Hard 12
K. Muchova vs N. Osaka head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
US OpenHardQuarter-finalsOsaka4-6 6-7
Australian OpenHard1/32-finalsOsaka6-1 1-6 3-6
WTA US OpenHard1/32-finalsMuchova3-6 6-7