Odds
Player analysis
S. Nagal comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.0 to 22.6, with at least one match where S. Nagal was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +20 over the last five.
A. Santamarta Roig has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +2.5 with a downward trend. A. Santamarta Roig is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Santamarta Roig vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 26 Feb | Gill | 6-7 6-0 3-6 | L |
| 24 Feb | Noguchi | 1-6 2-6 | W |
| 19 Feb | Cina | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 17 Feb | Sanchis | 3-6 5-7 | W |
| 12 Feb | Biryukov | 4-6 7-6 6-3 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 27 Nov | Aguilar | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 26 Nov | Rocha | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 24 Nov | Palosi | 4-6 6-1 6-2 | W |
| 18 Nov | Blancaneaux | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 5 Oct | Nagal | 6-4 6-2 | L |

