A. Santamarta Roig has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +2.5 with a downward trend. A. Santamarta Roig is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Santamarta Roig vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

D. Merida Aguilar comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -11.2, meaning D. Merida Aguilar has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving D. Merida Aguilar vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.