Odds
Player analysis
A. Santamarta Roig has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +2.5 with a downward trend. A. Santamarta Roig is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Santamarta Roig vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
D. Merida Aguilar shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 83. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.8 to 9.9, with at least one match where D. Merida Aguilar was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving D. Merida Aguilar vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Merida Aguilar has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 27 Nov | Aguilar | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 26 Nov | Rocha | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 24 Nov | Palosi | 4-6 6-1 6-2 | W |
| 18 Nov | Blancaneaux | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 5 Oct | Nagal | 6-4 6-2 | L |
4W 1L last 5
| 27 Apr | Tsitsipas | 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 25 Apr | Moutet | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 23 Apr | Trungelliti | 4-6 6-1 6-7 | W |
| 21 Apr | Trungelliti | 6-7 3-6 | W |
| 20 Apr | Harris | 3-6 5-7 | W |

