Odds
Player analysis
V. Vacherot has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.3 to 7.2, with at least one match where V. Vacherot was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving V. Vacherot vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
B. Nakashima comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.3 to 15.2, with at least one match where B. Nakashima was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving B. Nakashima vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — B. Nakashima has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -28 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 24 Apr | Nava | 6-7 7-6 6-3 | L |
| 11 Apr | Alcaraz | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 10 Apr | Minaur | 6-4 3-6 6-3 | W |
| 9 Apr | Hurkacz | 6-7 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 8 Apr | Musetti | 6-7 5-7 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 25 Apr | Blockx | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 16 Apr | Fils | 6-2 6-3 | L |
| 14 Apr | Cerundolo | 6-3 7-5 | W |
| 2 Apr | Burruchaga | 6-4 2-6 6-4 | L |
| 31 Mar | Damm | 6-7 2-6 | W |

