Odds
Player analysis
A. Pellegrino has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -15.0 to 18.0, with at least one match where A. Pellegrino was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. Pellegrino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Pellegrino has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.
L. Nardi comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.7, meaning L. Nardi has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving L. Nardi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 5 May | Landaluce | 3-6 6-2 2-6 | W |
| 4 May | Gaston | 6-1 6-3 | W |
| 30 Apr | Burruchaga | 6-4 4-6 7-5 | L |
| 29 Apr | Sakellaridis | 2-6 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 20 Apr | Damm | 0-6 6-7 | L |
1W 4L last 5
| 7 Apr | Royer | 6-7 5-7 | L |
| 3 Mar | Svajda | 6-4 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 24 Feb | Lehecka | 6-4 4-6 2-6 | L |
| 22 Feb | Carreno-Busta | 6-7 6-4 7-6 | L |
| 21 Feb | Trungelliti | 6-2 2-6 6-7 | W |

