A. Rublev comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.9, meaning A. Rublev has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving A. Rublev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Rublev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -32 over recent matches.

E. Nava has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.3 to 12.4, with at least one match where E. Nava was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving E. Nava vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.