MadridClay1/8-finals28 Apr 2026 · 11:15
J. Sinner
#1 · Italy
VS
C. Norrie
#23 · United Kingdom
SINNER
1.04
·
NORRIE
18.65

Odds

Market
Sinner
Norrie
Winner
1.04
18.65
Total
line 14.5
1
Over 14.5
9
Under 14.5
Total
line 15.0
1.01
Over 15.0
8.5
Under 15.0
Handicap
games
10
-9.5 games
1.02
+9.5 games
Handicap
games
9.3
-9.0 games
1.03
+9 games

Player analysis

J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Sinner has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -25 over recent matches.

DS 11.44Trend down

C. Norrie has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.4, meaning C. Norrie has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving C. Norrie vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+26) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS -5.44Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Sinner
Stat
Norrie
71.8%
Win rate
61.1%
89–35
W–L
80–51

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved40%
Aces6
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces4
Double faults3