AdelaideHard1/8-finals14 Jan 2026 · 04:25
R. Opelka
#70 · USA
VS
T. Paul
#18 · USA
OPELKA
2.48
·
PAUL
1.6

Odds

Market
Opelka
Paul
Winner
2.48
1.6

Player analysis

R. Opelka comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.1, meaning R. Opelka has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Opelka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -33 over recent matches.

DS -3.08Trend mixed

T. Paul shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 55. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.8 to 13.8, with at least one match where T. Paul was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving T. Paul vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 2.34Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Opelka
Stat
Paul
56.6%
Win rate
62.2%
154–118
W–L
248–151

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP saved80%
Aces20
Double faults3
BP converted50%
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults2