Odds
Player analysis
R. Opelka comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.1, meaning R. Opelka has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Opelka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -33 over recent matches.
T. Paul shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 55. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.8 to 13.8, with at least one match where T. Paul was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving T. Paul vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 13 Apr | Quinn | 5-7 6-7 | L |
| 22 Mar | Fritz | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Draper | 6-7 6-7 | W |
| 19 Mar | Borges | 6-7 6-2 7-6 | W |
| 6 Mar | Shelton | 6-7 7-6 6-3 | L |
4W 1L last 5
| 24 Apr | Tirante | 7-5 6-4 | L |
| 5 Apr | Burruchaga | 1-6 6-3 5-7 | W |
| 4 Apr | Tiafoe | 7-5 4-6 7-6 | W |
| 3 Apr | Etcheverry | 4-6 2-6 | W |
| 2 Apr | Vallejo | 6-3 4-6 4-6 | W |

