Odds
Player analysis
R. Opelka has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -18.9 to 11.8, with at least one match where R. Opelka was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (7.0/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Opelka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.
D. Sweeny comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.1, meaning D. Sweeny has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving D. Sweeny vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 22 Mar | Fritz | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Draper | 6-7 6-7 | W |
| 19 Mar | Borges | 6-7 6-2 7-6 | W |
| 6 Mar | Shelton | 6-7 7-6 6-3 | L |
| 4 Mar | Quinn | 7-5 7-6 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 17 Mar | Hijikata | 3-6 2-6 | L |
| 9 Mar | Fery | 6-4 4-6 6-1 | L |
| 3 Mar | Aguilar | 6-3 4-6 6-3 | L |
| 2 Mar | Johnson | 2-6 1-6 | W |
| 17 Feb | Zhukayev | 7-6 2-6 2-6 | L |

