J. Paolini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.0 to 20.8, with at least one match where J. Paolini was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving J. Paolini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.

C. Paquet comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -11.8, meaning C. Paquet has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 4.8/10, leaving C. Paquet vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Paquet has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.