E. Rybakina comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 17 on average. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.

J. Pareja comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.9, meaning J. Pareja has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.2/10, leaving J. Pareja vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Pareja has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -26 over recent matches.